marketsingle market
Will Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell in 2026?
United States
8%
▲ 8.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.2k
vol 24h
$3.2k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 8¢
No 92¢
If Donald Trump or the U.S. government sues Jerome Powell before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Federal criminal charges filed against Jerome Powell are also encompassed. Criminal investigative steps short of filed charges, such as opening or reopening an investigation, grand jury subpoenas or a target letter, do not count.
timeline
opened · Sep 30, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027