opentrade on Kalshi ↗

event9 outcomes

Top Coding AI this week

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Nov 9, 2026

As of 07:59 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, “Claude” leads “Top Coding AI this week” on Kalshi at 94%, followed by “ChatGPT” at 6% (-5pp in 24h) and “Dola” at 4%, out of 9 outcomes. The event has $773 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum

$977

vol 24h

$773

outcomes

9

ends

Nov 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Claude

rank #1

94¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$454

vol 24h

$421

spread

0.06

ends

Nov 9, 2026

If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Nov 9, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 2, 2026opencloses · Nov 9, 2026

Claude · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Kalshi

Top Open Source AI this week

Alibaba0¢Cohere0¢DeepSeek0¢

$0 24h · 13 markets

Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

158065¢▲ 26.5pp160011¢▲ 0.1pp1560100¢

$158 24h · 3 markets

Manifold

AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 2028

M0 24h · 1 market

Kalshi

Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

Claude28¢▼ 1.0ppChatGPT0¢· 0.0ppDeepSeek0¢· 0.0pp

$1 24h · 8 markets

Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic84¢▼ 1.0ppMeta16¢▼ 1.3ppOpenAI13¢▲ 5.7pp

$300 24h · 32 markets

Manifold

In 2029, will any AI be able to construct "reasonably" bug-free code of >= 10k LOC from a natural language specification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #4)

M0 24h · 1 market