opentrade on
↗
event5 outcomes
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
vol cum
$99.4k
vol 24h
$116
outcomes
5
ends
Apr 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Above 500000 in a single quarter
rank #1
53¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$94.3k
vol 24h
$116
spread
0.07
ends
Apr 1, 2027
If Tesla delivers more than 500000 vehicles in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Mar 20, 2025opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
Above 500000 in a single quarter · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataTesla total deliveries in 2026
Above 1.7 million69¢▼ 11.0ppAbove 1.5 million99¢· 0.0ppAbove 1.55 million95¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$0 24h · 9 markets
Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?
yes6¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
yes10¢· 0.0pp
$23 24h · 1 market
Tesla Optimus released this year?
yes11¢· 0.0pp
$132 24h · 1 market
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter70¢Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter21¢Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter19¢
+1 others
$0 24h · 4 markets
Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?
yes69¢▲ 3.2pp
M296 24h · 1 market