pdatanews266
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
event8 outcomes

Third-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Apr 8, 2029

As of 13:50 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Third-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?” on Kalshi are “At least 1%” at 96%, “At least 1.5%” at 92% and “At least 3%” at 37% (+37pp in 24h). The event has $4.4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$4.4k
vol 24h
$4.4k
outcomes
8
ends
Apr 8, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
At least 1%
rank #1
United States
96¢
▲ 96.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$4.4k
vol 24h
$4.4k
spread
0.01
ends
Apr 8, 2029

If the third-party share of the national popular vote for President is at least 1% in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 6, 2026opencloses · Apr 8, 2029
At least 1% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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