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event3 outcomes

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2029
vol cum
M21.7k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 8, 2029
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Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president. Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president. Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario. Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications: No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other. Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.

politics-defaultmagalanddemocratic-partyus-politics2028-us-presidential-election
marketselected outcome
Democrats
rank #1
United States
61¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M3.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 8, 2029
timeline
opened · Jan 27, 2025opencloses · Jan 8, 2029
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