Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
As of 09:25 UTC on 28 Sep 2026, “Democrats” leads “Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?” on Manifold at 63%, followed by “Republicans” at 35% and “Other” at 2%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Gemini.
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president. Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president. Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario. Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications: No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other. Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
