Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

Kalshi·Politics

United States

As of 14:42 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?” at 10%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending.