What is the current probability for "When will Trump officially rename AI?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "When will Trump officially rename AI?": Before Nov 1, 2026 61%, Before Oct 1, 2026 47% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPAIRENAME-26SEP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

When will Trump officially rename AI?

·Politics·ends Nov 8, 2026

vol cum

$11.3k

vol 24h

$11.3k

outcomes

ends

Nov 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

rank #1

United States

61¢

▲ 36.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6k

vol 24h

$6k

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 8, 2026

If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Nov 8, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history