Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 19:23 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?” at 21%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

Clarifications: the halt does not need to be permanent the halt must target a broad swath of frontier AI research the halt must apply to all serious countries the person has to say call for it seriously, i.e. not as a joke. the person doesn't need to have a super specific plan in mind as long as it's clear what they mean. examples that might suffice for a halt: training runs above a threshold, banning improvements beyond a given model