What is the current probability for "What will Trump say during his announcement?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Trump say during his announcement?": Iran (3+ times) 69%, Oil / Gas / Gasoline 67%, Hezbollah / Hamas 55% (top 3 of 25 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JUL20. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event25 outcomes

What will Trump say during his announcement?

·Mentions·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$10.8k

vol 24h

$10.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 25

marketselected outcome

Iran (3+ times)

rank #1

United States

69¢

▲ 69.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$24

vol 24h

$24

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 11, 2026

If Donald Trump says Iran (3+ times) as part of next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Marietta, Georgia) , then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2026

Iran (3+ times) · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history