What is the current probability for "What will Trump say this week?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will Trump say this week?" are Barack Hussein Obama 90%, Fraud 87%, Rigged Election / Stolen Election 84% — 3 of 30 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/27/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event30 outcomes

What will Trump say this week?

·Mentions·ends Jul 27, 2026

vol cum

$66.2k

vol 24h

$66k

outcomes

ends

Jul 27, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 30

marketselected outcome

Bibi / Netanyahu

rank #1

United StatesIsrael

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.2k

vol 24h

$18.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 27, 2026

If Bibi / Netanyahu, or a plural or possessive form of Bibi / Netanyahu, is stated by Donald Trump after July 20th, at 10:00am ET and before Jul 27, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 27, 2026

Bibi / Netanyahu · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history