Question 1

What is the current probability for "Texas crude oil production in 2026"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Texas crude oil production in 2026" are Above 5.8 million barrels/day 50%, Above 5.9 million barrels/day 6% — 2 of 4 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Apr 7, 2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTXOIL-27MAR31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Texas crude oil production in 2026

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