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event3 outcomes

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

As of 03:13 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?” on Kalshi are “Shell” at 60% (+7pp in 24h), “ExxonMobil” at 30% and “ConocoPhillips” at 16%. The event has $200 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Limitless.

vol cum
$3.9k
vol 24h
$200
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Shell
rank #1
Venezuela
60¢
▲ 7.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$200
spread
0.09
ends
Jan 8, 2027

If Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027
Shell · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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