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Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?

Manifold·Politics
Venezuela
7%
vol cum
M14k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES
NO 93¢

Whether the United States, Guyana, another country, or a civil war, this market resolves Yes if Venezuela is in a new entry on Wikipedia's active conflicts page in the Minor or Major Wars categories by the end of 2026. This does not include the existing Colombian-Venezuelan conflict entry. Obvious wiki vandalizm doesn't count either, and Venezuela's participation in the conflict must be actively martial to count if they are added as a new beligerent to an existing war. Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.

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opened · Sep 9, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
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