Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
As of 02:21 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Limitless prices “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” at 2%. The market has no Limitless-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” on Polymarket, priced at 2%. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket and Manifold.
<p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".</p><p>Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.</p><p>The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.</p>
