p|datav0.1news250
marketsingle market

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Manifold·Politics
ChinaTaiwan
4%
vol cum
M16.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES
NO 96¢

This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.

timeline
opened · Mar 3, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata