What is the current probability for "Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent" are At least 10% 77%, At least 15% 43%, At least 20% 17% — 3 of 7 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26JFIS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

·Elections·ends Aug 18, 2027

vol cum

$2M

vol 24h

$59.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

At least 1%

rank #1

United States

100¢

▲ 0.2pp

24h change

vol cum

$532k

vol 24h

$8.3k

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 18, 2027

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 1, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2027

At least 1% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history