What is the current probability for "Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent": At least 1% 97%, At least 5% 92%, At least 3% 92% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVFLNOMR26JFIS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event6 outcomes

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

·Elections·ends Aug 18, 2027

vol cum

$235k

vol 24h

$11.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

At least 20%

rank #5

United States

20¢

▲ 6.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$135.6k

vol 24h

$10.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 18, 2027

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 1, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2027

At least 20% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history