Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?
As of 03:55 UTC on 10 Nov 2026, Kalshi prices “Will youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?” at 11% (-4pp in 24h). The market has $24 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Limitless.
If, in any of the remaining Employment Situation releases published after Issuance in calendar year 2026, the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, is below 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market covers only Employment Situation releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The relevant statistic is the BLS unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, series LNS14024887. FRED series LNS14024887 may be used as a reference source.
