p|datav0.1news253
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews253MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsOddsNews253MapMonitor
theme
markets·Politics
opentrade on Limitless ↗
event2 outcomes

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Limitless·Politics·ends Oct 1, 2026
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
2
ends
Oct 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
LimitlessPolitics
marketselected outcome
September 30
rank #1
Israel
S
6¢
▼ 1.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 1, 2026

<p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. </p><p><br></p><p>A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).</p><p><br></p><p>Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.</p><p><br></p><p>Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.</p><p><br></p><p>The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.</p>

timeline
opened · Aug 25, 2026opencloses · Oct 1, 2026
September 30 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Polymarketpolymarket↔ equiv
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 312¢▼ 0.1ppSeptember 306¢▼ 2.5ppMay 80¢
+16 others
$8.8k 24h · 19 markets
Limitlesslimitless
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
August 3150¢· 0.0ppDecember 3118¢▲ 0.5ppOctober 3110¢▼ 0.1pp
+1 others
$0 24h · 4 markets
Opinionopinion
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3135¢· 0.0ppApril 30—June 30—
$1.3k 24h · 3 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Iran full airspace closure by...?
August 311¢▲ 0.1ppDecember 3118¢· 0.0ppSeptember 306¢· 0.0pp
+7 others
$13.9k 24h · 10 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 319¢▼ 0.5ppAugust 310¢· 0.0ppSeptember 302¢· 0.0pp
+4 others
$1.2k 24h · 7 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
December 3114¢· 0.0ppJanuary 31—June 300¢
+5 others
$12 24h · 8 markets
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026