event5 outcomes

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Limitless·Business·ends Dec 12, 2026

As of 06:40 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “SpaceX Starship 15th launch?” on Limitless are “Before Dec 11, 2026” at 92%, “Before Nov 27, 2026” at 74% (-2pp in 24h) and “Before Oct 16, 2026” at 50%. The event has no Limitless-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

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Dec 12, 2026

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Before Dec 11, 2026

rank #1

92¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

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n/a

ends

Dec 12, 2026

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceXOutcome verified from <a href="https://www.spacex.com/launches" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">SpaceX</a>.

timeline

opened · Oct 16, 2026opencloses · Dec 12, 2026

Before Dec 11, 2026 · prices over time

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volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history