event8 outcomes

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Limitless·Crypto·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 18:32 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “5-6” leads “How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?” on Limitless at 50% (+13pp in 24h), followed by “<5” at 50% and “9-10” at 50%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has no Limitless-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

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showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

5-6

rank #1

50¢

▲ 12.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$45

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Jun 27, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

5-6 · prices over time

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