How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 16:44 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “4” leads “How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?” on Kalshi at 46%, followed by “5” at 42% (-1pp in 24h) and “1 or below” at 20%, out of 10 outcomes. The event has $1.7k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.