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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 7, 2027

As of 02:05 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?” on Kalshi are “Above 120” at 99% (+1pp in 24h), “Above 140” at 62% (-3pp in 24h) and “Above 145” at 13%. The event has $4.7k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.

vol cum
$811.4k
vol 24h
$4.7k
outcomes
10
ends
Jan 7, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Above 120
rank #1
99¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$44.4k
vol 24h
$15
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 7, 2027

If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Dec 9, 2025opencloses · Jan 7, 2027
Above 120 · prices over time
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