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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? · Above 120 93% (-4pp) — Kalshi odds
markets
·
Business
open
trade on
↗
event
8 outcomes
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
·
Business
·
ends Jan 7, 2027
H
vol cum
$397.3k
vol 24h
$866
outcomes
8
ends
Jan 7, 2027
outcomes
click to inspect →
A
Above 120
93¢
▼ 4.0
pp
A
Above 140
89¢
· 0.0
pp
A
Above 160
23¢
▲ 1.0
pp
A
Above 170
20¢
▼ 1.0
pp
A
Above 180
15¢
· 0.0
pp
showing 5 of 8
see 3 more ↓
market
selected outcome
Above 120
rank #1
A
93¢
▼ 4.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$22.2k
vol 24h
$71
spread
0.03
ends
Jan 7, 2027
If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Dec 9, 2025
open
closes
· Jan 7, 2027
prices over time · Above 120 highlighted
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
hover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
160-179
14
¢
▼ 1.0
pp
140-159
59
¢
· 0.0
pp
180-199
8
¢
▼ 0.5
pp
+4 others
$46 24h · 7 markets
kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
4
33
¢
· 0.0
pp
3
26
¢
· 0.0
pp
5
20
¢
· 0.0
pp
+7 others
$4 24h · 10 markets
manifold
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
yes
6
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
14+
68
¢
▲ 4.0
pp
<11
2
¢
▼ 1.9
pp
13
30
¢
▲ 1.0
pp
+2 others
$823 24h · 5 markets
kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
Above 12
3
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 3
81
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 4
50
¢
· 0.0
pp
+7 others
$13 24h · 10 markets
manifold
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
yes
48
¢
· 0.0
pp
M0 24h · 1 market
+6 more