How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 23:58 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?” on Kalshi are “Above 3” at 90% (-1pp in 24h), “Above 4” at 27% (+1pp in 24h) and “Above 8” at 4%. The event has $648 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?” on Manifold, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.