event12 outcomes
Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 02:13 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?” on Manifold are “May” at 100%, “September” at 100% and “July” at 100%. The event has M$41 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.
vol cum
M250.1k
vol 24h
M41
outcomes
12
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12
"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines. Only launches planned to go to space (i.e. >100km altitude) count. Relevant timezone, for determining which month a launch is in, is local time at the launch site.
rocketstechnology-defaultstarship-launch-partyspacespacex