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Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 02:13 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?” on Manifold are “May” at 100%, “September” at 100% and “July” at 100%. The event has M$41 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.

vol cum
M250.1k
vol 24h
M41
outcomes
12
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines. Only launches planned to go to space (i.e. >100km altitude) count. Relevant timezone, for determining which month a launch is in, is local time at the launch site.

rocketstechnology-defaultstarship-launch-partyspacespacex
marketselected outcome
May
rank #1
100¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M13.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
timeline
opened · Nov 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
May · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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