When will Joe Biden die?
As of 16:26 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “2030 or later” leads “When will Joe Biden die?” on Manifold at 57%, followed by “2027-2029” at 39% and “2026” at 4%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office. If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82. There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia. On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous": https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e [link preview]