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Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?

Manifold·Politics·ends Dec 31, 2050

As of 00:39 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, “Donald Trump” leads “Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?” on Manifold at 71%, followed by “Joe Biden” at 29%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has M$125 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.

vol cum
M35.6k
vol 24h
M125
outcomes
2
ends
Dec 31, 2050
outcomesclick to inspect →

This question will resolve to the person that stays with us (alive) till later date, regardless of their age.

us-politicsthe-life-of-bidendeath-markets
marketselected outcome
Donald Trump
rank #1
United States
71¢
▼ 0.1pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.7k
vol 24h
M86
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2050
timeline
opened · Sep 17, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2050
Donald Trump · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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