Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 23:59 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?” at 73%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

73%

vol cum

M12.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 2, 2030

It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other. If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).