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Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 10:26 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?” at 33%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.

33%
vol cum
M116k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 16, 2030
YES 33¢
NO 67¢
If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2024opencloses · Jan 16, 2030