event2 outcomes
Who will die first? Trump or Biden?
Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2040
As of 13:57 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “Joe Biden” leads “Who will die first? Trump or Biden?” on Manifold at 78%, followed by “Donald Trump” at 22%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.
vol cum
M19.7k
vol 24h
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outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2040
outcomesclick to inspect →
Death as officially announced by a spokesperson for the person and/or by a doctor or health official
us-politicspolitics-default2024-us-presidential-electionthe-life-of-bidendeath-markets