event2 outcomes
Who dies first: Trump or Biden?
Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2060
As of 15:41 UTC on 21 May 2026, “Joe Biden” leads “Who dies first: Trump or Biden?” on Manifold at 70%, followed by “Donald Trump” at 30%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.

vol cum
M4.4k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 2, 2060
outcomesclick to inspect →
us-politicsthe-life-of-bidendonald-trumpunsubsidized