EU dissolves in ....?
As of 19:00 UTC on 28 Sep 2026, “Other” leads “EU dissolves in ....?” on Manifold at 49%, followed by “2035-2040” at 12% and “2030-2035” at 12%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.
Politics / News Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when the EU dissolves (i.e., "dissolves in" a specific year), not whether it dissolves before a certain date. This is a multiple choice market where after one answer resolves YES, all others resolve NO. Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve before 2050 if the EU dissolves prior to the close date, or at the close date (2050) if it has not dissolved by then.
