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marketsingle market

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official at the state or federal level in the US before 2029?

Manifold·Politics
United States
35%
vol cum
M3.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
YES 35¢
NO 65¢

This market resolves as YES if there is an elected official at the state or federal level in the US who is publicly detransitioning or publicly has detransitioned before 2029. This includes both those in and out of office. If you already know of an elected official who is openly detrans and provide evidence of their existence from local or national news, then this market resolves as YES. Personal communications (say on social networks) confirming the person as detrans do not qualify. If there is not a detrans elected official before 2029, then this market resolves as NO.

timeline
opened · Jul 5, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
Will there be a publicly detrans elected official at the state or federal level in the US before 2029? · prices over time
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