Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 14:45 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?” at 20%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Limitless and Kalshi.

This market resolves YES if an openly trans Republican is elected to a state or federal government position in the 2030 election or earlier. This market resolves NO if that does not happen.