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Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Manifold·Elections
United States
20%
vol cum
M4.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
YES 20¢
NO 80¢

This market resolves YES if an openly trans Republican is elected to a state or federal government position in the 2030 election or earlier. This market resolves NO if that does not happen.

timeline
opened · Jul 2, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030? · prices over time
−24h
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no price history yet
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