marketsingle market
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
United States
94%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M11.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 9, 2028
YES 94¢
NO 6¢
Updated description: My current take: this should not be the same as "does he win the primary"; that's a different question, that we have other markets for. "Run for" in my mind means election activity, including being on the primary ballot, or the presidential ballot, or filing FEC forms. I propose that this resolve Yes if either: He appears on any primary or general election ballot for the office of the Presidency or party (presumably Democratic) nomination for it He files an FEC Form 2 Any objections or proposed other criteria?
timeline
opened · Oct 22, 2023opencloses · Nov 9, 2028