Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
As of 14:58 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?” at 73%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini and Limitless.
Updated description: My current take: this should not be the same as "does he win the primary"; that's a different question, that we have other markets for. "Run for" in my mind means election activity, including being on the primary ballot, or the presidential ballot, or filing FEC forms. I propose that this resolve Yes if either: He appears on any primary or general election ballot for the office of the Presidency or party (presumably Democratic) nomination for it He files an FEC Form 2 Any objections or proposed other criteria?
