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event6 outcomes

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Jan 1, 2028

As of 10:21 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?” on Kalshi are “Before Mar 1, 2027” at 87%, “Before Oct 1, 2027” at 75% and “Before Jul 1, 2027” at 71%. The event has $434 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
$6.8k
vol 24h
$434
outcomes
6
ends
Jan 1, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6
marketselected outcome
Before Mar 1, 2027
rank #1
United States
87¢
▲ 87.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$423
vol 24h
$423
spread
0.07
ends
Jan 1, 2028

If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 12, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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