Question 1

What is the current probability for "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" from limitless. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 11/8/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from limitless's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/limitless/10000449. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Markets

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Other

JD Vance

Kamala Harris

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Josh Shapiro

Donald Trump