pdatanews

Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day?

“1 trillion or higher?” 92% (-4pp in 24h), “1.2 trillion or higher?” 85% (+7pp in 24h) and “1.5 trillion or higher?” 54% (-1pp in 24h) on Manifold as of 18:27 UTC on 12 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day?”. The event has M$43.5k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

Manifold·Finance·ends Dec 31, 2028
event9 outcomes
vol cum
M68.2k
vol 24h
M43.5k
outcomes
9
ends
Dec 31, 2028
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9

Resolves N/A if no IPO by end of 2028. This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. Google finance will be the source. Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more Related market: (https://manifold.markets/embed/256/openai-closing-market-cap-on-ipo-da)Update 2026-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is a significant difference between the Google Finance figure and the consensus of other sources (TradingView, Bloomberg, CompaniesMarketCap), the resolution will defer to those sources.

financeeconomics-defaultbusinessaitechnology-default
marketselected outcome
1 trillion or higher?
rank #1
92¢
▼ 4.4pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.6k
vol 24h
M65
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2028
timeline
opened · Nov 12, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2028
1 trillion or higher? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history