event49 outcomes
Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?
Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 22, 2033
As of 06:40 UTC on 30 Aug 2026, “Other” leads “Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?” on Manifold at 39%, followed by “Marco Rubio” at 8% and “Gavin Newsom” at 6%, out of 49 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket and Gemini.

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The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2032 United States presidential election. If no presidential election is held in the United States in 2032, this market shall resolve to "No one". I will not bet on this market.
us-politicspolitics-defaultunited-stateselectionsglobal-macrofuture-us-presidents