Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
As of 20:39 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?” at 12%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.
This market resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly announces the creation of a new political party before the end of Trump’s current term (January 20, 2029). The party must be intended to run candidates in U.S. elections. A public announcement reported by credible news sources (e.g. NYT, WSJ, Reuters, CNN, BBC, Bloomberg, AP) or official filings with the FEC will count. Speculation, jokes, or offhand remarks do not count unless followed by a formal announcement or filing. Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES based on the public announcement or FEC filing of a new political party intended to run candidates in U.S. elections, regardless of whether: Any candidates ultimately get on the ballot. The party succeeds in gaining ballot access.
