Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Source: manifold·Event ID: 36n8hwv2y2·Ends:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections Update 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.
Markets
West Virginia
- YES: 98¢
- NO: 2¢
Tennessee
- YES: 97¢
- NO: 3¢
Alabama
- YES: 97¢
- NO: 3¢
Wyoming
- YES: 96¢
- NO: 4¢
Arkansas
- YES: 95¢
- NO: 5¢
Kentucky
- YES: 94¢
- NO: 6¢
Idaho
- YES: 94¢
- NO: 6¢
South Dakota
- YES: 92¢
- NO: 8¢
Oklahoma
- YES: 91¢
- NO: 9¢
Mississippi
- YES: 90¢
- NO: 10¢
Louisiana
- YES: 87¢
- NO: 13¢
Florida (Special)
- YES: 83¢
- NO: 17¢
South Carolina
- YES: 82¢
- NO: 18¢
Kansas
- YES: 81¢
- NO: 19¢
Montana
- YES: 75¢
- NO: 25¢
Nebraska
- YES: 64¢
- NO: 36¢
Iowa
- YES: 62¢
- NO: 38¢
Texas
- YES: 59¢
- NO: 41¢
Ohio (Special)
- YES: 49¢
- NO: 51¢
Alaska
- YES: 36¢
- NO: 64¢
Michigan
- YES: 28¢
- NO: 72¢
Maine
- YES: 27¢
- NO: 73¢
North Carolina
- YES: 17¢
- NO: 83¢
Georgia
- YES: 16¢
- NO: 84¢
New Hampshire
- YES: 15¢
- NO: 85¢
Minnesota
- YES: 8¢
- NO: 92¢
Colorado
- YES: 7¢
- NO: 93¢
New Jersey
- YES: 6¢
- NO: 94¢
Oregon
- YES: 6¢
- NO: 94¢
Virginia
- YES: 5¢
- NO: 95¢
Illinois
- YES: 5¢
- NO: 95¢
Rhode Island
- YES: 4¢
- NO: 96¢
Delaware
- YES: 4¢
- NO: 96¢
Massachusetts
- YES: 4¢
- NO: 96¢
New Mexico
- YES: 3¢
- NO: 97¢