Will a U.S. state recognize marriages with more than two members?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 22:34 UTC on 26 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will a U.S. state recognize marriages with more than two members?” at 37%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Resolves as YES if sometime before 2038 one or more U.S. states recognize (i.e. legalize, accept, etc.) marriages with more than two people.