marketsingle market
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 08:58 UTC on 7 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?” at 29%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

29%
vol cum
M4.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2035
YES 29¢
NO 71¢
They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.
timeline
opened · Nov 7, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2035