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Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 12:53 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

3%
vol cum
M106.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 3¢
NO 97¢

Compare to (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/resolves-no-in-2030)

timeline
opened · Feb 20, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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