marketsingle market
Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

8%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M23.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2039
YES 8¢
NO 92¢
Resolves Yes if >50% of humanity's population is killed in a 12 month time period and I think it >30% likely that the root cause was misaligned AI. If I am dead then Manifold can resolve based on Lesswrong community sentiment or a poll with a 30% threshold. See also: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ahalekelly/will-misaligned-ai-kill-50-of-the-h-53baa02e69ba)
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opened · Mar 24, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2039