What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
As of 20:12 UTC on 28 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 182 markets in “What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter” on Manifold are “The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya” at 100%, “Did it on purpose” at 100% and “The shooter killed Charlie Kirk” at 100%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Opinion and Kalshi.
Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A. Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For Acted alone (no accomplices): any accomplice associated with the shooting counts, including after-the-fact assistance (e.g., destroying evidence). If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true. Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A conviction or guilty plea in court would be sufficient evidence to resolve answers about the shooter's identity Direct evidence would be sufficient Circumstantial evidence or evidence described as "seemingly" implicating someone would not be sufficient to resolve Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve in the case of a guilty plea (in addition to a conviction in court)
