Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?

Manifold·Science and Technology

United States

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

This market concerns AOH1996, a cancer therapeutic reported in this paper. It is currently in Phase I trial. This market resolves to YES, if a Phase II trial is submitted and starts for any type of cancer.