Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029
As of 00:24 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, “Donald Trump” leads “Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029” on Manifold at 79%, followed by “JD Vance” at 16% and “Other” at 4%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Opinion.
As of midnight US eastern time. Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option. If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
