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event38 outcomes

Which jobs will NOT be taken over by robots before 2035?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 2, 2035

As of 13:28 UTC on 5 May 2026, the highest-priced of the 38 markets in “Which jobs will NOT be taken over by robots before 2035?” on Manifold are “Soccer player” at 90%, “Chaplain” at 86% and “Federal employees” at 82%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

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Jan 2, 2035
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[tweet]If ambiguous, resolves to manifold moderators' opinion in 2035. May resolve to a percentage if ambiguous. I'm open to ideas for more specific requirements. Some clarification: robots count digital robots and physical robots The intent is that if the average person in 2035 considers a job to have been taken over by robots, that job resolves NO. So "taken over" may be vague, but non-absolute, but if almost every job that exists today is gone in that sector then, people would probably agree robots have taken it over.

roboticsautomationaijobs
marketselected outcome
Soccer player
rank #1
90¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
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M0
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Jan 2, 2035
timeline
opened · Sep 27, 2024opencloses · Jan 2, 2035
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