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Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 14:11 UTC on 31 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

68%
vol cum
M22.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2035
YES 68¢
NO 32¢

AGI aims to replicate the full spectrum of human cognitive abilities, including perception, reasoning, problem-solving, creativity, and social intelligence, across a wide range of domains. The goal is to create machines that can learn from experience, generalize knowledge across different tasks, and adapt to new situations without requiring reprogramming.

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opened · Dec 16, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2035
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035? · prices over time
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